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Expectations and rational actions in an experimental financial market
Nelson, Forrest; Tietz, Reinhard - In: Surveys in experimental economics : bargaining, …, (pp. 193-227). 2002
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001681126
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Daniel Kahneman et l'analyse de la décision face au risque
Gollier, Christian; Hilton, Denis J.; Raufaste, Eric - In: Revue d'économie politique 113 (2003) 3, pp. 295-307
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001773507
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Individual rationality, model-consistent expectations and learning
Graham, Liam - 2011
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009298926
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A Parsimonious Model of Subjective Life Expectancy
Ludwig, Alexander - 2009
This paper develops a theoretical model for the formation of subjective beliefs on individual survival expectations … survival probability whereas old respondents overestimate their survival probability. Such subjective beliefs violate the … subjective beliefs expressed in the data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013157401
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Rationally Uncertain Expectations
Osband, Kent - 2020
When financial securities are modeled as claims on stochastic processes, each trader's beliefs at time can be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012827005
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The Bright but Right View? A New Type of Evidence on Entrepreneurial Optimism
Bengtsson, Ola - 2014
their beliefs about nationwide and own conditions. In addition, our measure of optimism makes it possible to relate an … individual's beliefs to actual outcomes. We can thereby test, in a novel way, whether entrepreneurial optimism is a behavioral … dataset (180,814 responses) that allows us to create a good measure of entrepreneurial optimism. Our measure is based on the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013058418
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Near-Rational Expectation : How Far Surveys from Rationality
Ivashchenko, Sergey - 2014
New simple forms of deviation from rational expectation (RE) are suggested: strong near rational expectation (SNRE) and weak near rational expectation (WNRE). The medium-scale DSGE model is estimated with the RE, the SNRE and the WNRE. It is estimated with and without observed from the surveys...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013039738
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Rational vs irrational beliefs in a complex world
Böhl, Gregor; Hommes, Cars H. - In: CeNDEF working paper (2021) 4, pp. 1-43
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012704576
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Capital markets from an evolutionary perspective : the state preference model reconsidered
Kugler, Friedrich - 1996
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013283125