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Characterization of the anticipated performance of energy technologies to inform policy decisions increasingly relies on expert elicitation. Knowledge about how elicitation design factors impact the probabilistic estimates emerging from these studies is, however, scarce. We focus on nuclear...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010796284
We address a two-stage Newsvendor model in which the mean demand -- but not the actual demand -- at first random itself, gets revealed in midstream, in time to place a second order, albeit that the unit cost price of this second order is higher than that of the original one. The two-stage...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014081245
We study a matching market with N agents who compete over M = αN opportunities. Agents must perform a costly inspection to verify compatibility prior to matching, and are willing to inspect their current favorite opportunity only if, should they find it compatible, they will be guaranteed a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014031616
We study how to initially allocate emission permits in an emissions trading system where firms also compete in a production market a la Cournot. We provide efficiency guarantee of simple uniform linear allocation mechanisms in the broad class of component-wise concave mechanisms in which the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014343811
We introduce a novel stochastic control model for the problem of a service firm interacting over time with one of its customers. The firm has two service modes available, which differ in their expected reward rates as well as their volatilities (risk). The firm's objective is to maximize the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012852193
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We study a general finite horizon, periodic review combined inventory and pricing model with N suppliers and T periods, where both the demands and the supply mechanisms are random. The random supply mechanisms are of a general type that includes most structures encountered in practice. Demands...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014087165
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In this paper we standardize, compare, and aggregate results from thirteen surveys of technology experts, performed over a period of five years using a range of different methodologies, but all aiming at eliciting expert judgment on the future cost of five key energy technologies and how future...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014135606