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Expert elicitation is a process for eliciting subjective probability distributions from experts about items of interest to decision makers. These methods have been increasingly applied in the energy domain to collect information on the future cost and performance of specific energy technologies...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012968610
We introduce a novel stochastic control model for the problem of a service firm interacting over time with one of its customers. The firm has two service modes available, which differ in their expected reward rates as well as their volatilities (risk). The firm's objective is to maximize the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012852193
We study how to initially allocate emission permits in an emissions trading system where firms also compete in a production market a la Cournot. We provide efficiency guarantee of simple uniform linear allocation mechanisms in the broad class of component-wise concave mechanisms in which the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014343811
We address a two-stage Newsvendor model in which the mean demand -- but not the actual demand -- at first random itself, gets revealed in midstream, in time to place a second order, albeit that the unit cost price of this second order is higher than that of the original one. The two-stage...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014081245
We study a general finite horizon, periodic review combined inventory and pricing model with N suppliers and T periods, where both the demands and the supply mechanisms are random. The random supply mechanisms are of a general type that includes most structures encountered in practice. Demands...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014087165
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014283296
We study a matching market with N agents who compete over M = αN opportunities. Agents must perform a costly inspection to verify compatibility prior to matching, and are willing to inspect their current favorite opportunity only if, should they find it compatible, they will be guaranteed a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014031616
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014564974
In the present paper we use the output of multiple expert elicitation surveys on the future cost of key low-carbon technologies and use it as input of three Integrated Assessment models, GCAM, MARKAL_US and WITCH. By means of a large set of simulations we aim to assess the implications of these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011438620
Mitigating climate change will require innovation in energy technologies. Policy makers are faced with the question of how to promote this innovation, and whether to focus on a few technologies or to spread their bets. We present results on the extent to which public R&D might shape the future...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011451680