We introduce Behavioral Learning Equilibria (BLE) into a multivariate linear framework and apply it to New Keynesian DSGE models. In a BLE, boundedly rational agents use simple, but optimal AR(1) forecasting rules whose parameters are consistent with the observed sample mean and autocorrelation...

Central bank intervention in the form of quantitative easing (QE) during times of low interest rates is a controversial topic. This paper introduces a novel approach to study the effectiveness of such unconventional measures. Using U.S. data on six key financial and macroeconomic variables...

We study the role of asset revaluation in the monetary transmission mechanism. We build an analytical heterogeneous-agents model with two main ingredients: i) rare disasters; ii) heterogeneous beliefs. The model captures time-varying risk premia and precautionary savings in a setting that nests...

In a world of radical uncertainty the frequency distributions of economic variables deviate from the normal distribution and typically exhibit fat tails. We show that this feature is obtained in simple models where agents have cognitive limitations and fail to understand the underlying model....

One of the main reasons to dollarize an emerging market economy is to eliminate high, persistent, and volatile inflation. To be effective, dollarization must generate sufficient credibility, which in turn depends critically on whether its expected probability of reversal is low. Argentina once...

In this paper we examine how the balance-of-payments constraint can limit output and income distribution in a small economy open to both commercial and financial flows, as well as constrain fiscal and monetary policies. We do so by extending a Sraffian supermultiplier growth model to consider...

In this paper we examine how the balance-of-payments constraint can limit output and income distribution in a small economy open to both commercial and financial flows, as well as constrain fiscal and monetary policies. We do so by extending a Sraffian supermultiplier growth model to consider...

The debate on the effectiveness of monetary policy in developing countries remains open. We shed new light on this issue by examining whether managers' perceptions of financial constraints are shaped after a change in monetary policy. Our analysis shows that managers are more likely to report...

The debate on the effectiveness of monetary policy in developing countries remains open. We shed new light on this issue by examining whether managers' perceptions of financial constraints are shaped after a change in monetary policy. Our analysis shows that managers are more likely to report...