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Growth rate of German economy normalizing after prolonged economic boom

Michelsen, Claus; Breuer, Christian; Bruns, Martin; … - In: DIW weekly report : economy, politics, science : a … 8 (2018) 50/52, pp. 510-513

The German economy continues to perform well although the boom has ended. However, at 1.5 percent, German GDP will increase this year at a lower rate than expected at the beginning of the year. Nevertheless, concerns about an imminent recession should give way to the assessment that the pace of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011946925

German economy : a recession is not automatically a crisis

Michelsen, Claus; Clemens, Marius; Hanisch, Max; … - In: DIW weekly report : economy, politics, science : a … 9 (2019) 37, pp. 330-333

political risks do not materialize. A no-deal Brexit, for example, would reduce growth in Germany by 0.4 percent in 2020. …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012110811

German economy defying a turbulent and uncertain environment

Michelsen, Claus; Bruns, Martin; Clemens, Marius; … - In: DIW weekly report : economy, politics, science : a … 9 (2019) 22/24, pp. 196-199

After a turbulent summer, marked by a weak second and a likely stronger third quarter, the German economy should return to an average pace of growth and end up with a growth rate of 0.9 percent in 2019. Despite the more subdued pace, capacity utilization remains high; employment growth is...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012016596

Model averaging in Markov-switching models : predicting national recessions with regional data

Guérin, Pierre; Leiva-Leon, Danilo - In: Economics letters 157 (2017), pp. 45-49

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011847300

New government's policies give the thriving German economy an additional boost

Fichtner, Ferdinand; Brenke, Karl; Breuer, Christian; … - In: DIW weekly report : economy, politics, science : a … 8 (2018) 10/11, pp. 102-111

The German economy will grow by 2.4 percent this year, especially due to strong foreign demand. Brisk investment activity continues in this economic climate; stimulus from foreign trade, however, is weakening somewhat. Despite strong consumer demand in the coming quarters, employment and economic...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011807114

Politische Risiken gefähren globalen Aufschwung : Prognose der wirtschaftlichen Entwicklung 2018/2019

Herzog-Stein, Alexander; Hohlfeld, Peter; Rietzler, Katja; … - 2018 - Abgeschlossen am 16. März 2018

Die Triebkräfte des Aufschwungs in Deutschland sind ausgeglichen. Die Binnennachfrage wird von einem robusten privaten … Maßnahmen der US-amerikanischen Regierung können sowohl direkt als auch indirekt auf die Produktion in Deutschland und im … pose substantial risks for the global expansion. U.S. protectionism could negatively impact Germany and the euro area both …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011808283

Konjunktur aktuell : Aufschwung in Deutschland und in der Welt

Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich; Claudio, João Carlos; … - In: Konjunktur aktuell 5 (2017) 5, pp. 97-137

Zur Jahreswende ist die deutsche Konjunktur nach wie vor kräftig. Das Bruttoinlandsprodukt dürfte im Jahr 2017 um 2 … deutschen Exporte zurzeit von der schwungvollen internationalen Konjunktur. Auch weil die Geldpolitik im Euroraum vorerst … der gegenwärtig sehr kräftigen internationalen Konjunktur. …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011810303

Gemeinschaftsdiagnose Herbst 2018 : Aufschwung verliert an Fahrt - weltwirtschaftliches Klima wird rauer

Döhrn, Roland (contributor); … - Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose - In: Ifo-Schnelldienst 71 (2018) 19, pp. 3-74

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011918597

German economy : slowdown in sight

Fichtner, Ferdinand; Breuer, Christian; Junker, Simon; … - In: DIW weekly report : economy, politics, science : a … 8 (2018) 24, pp. 210-216

Compared to last year, the German economy is weakening noticeably. Orders from abroad are decreasing and domestic companies are holding back on investments. However, capacity utilization remains high—also because the government will boost the incomes of private households next year. However,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011863515

Could the start of the German recession 2008-2009 have been foreseen? : evidence from real-time data

Heilemann, Ullrich; Schnorr-Bäcker, Susanne - In: Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik 237 (2017) 1, pp. 29-62

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011865303