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Using an aggregate credit spread index, we find that it has substantial predictive power for corporate bond returns over short and long horizons. The return predictability is economically and statistically significant and robust to various controls. The credit spread index and its components...
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disequilibria are skyrocketing and default risk premiums and tensions within the Euro area are rising, thus jeopardizing the …
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The standard measures of distress risk ignore the fact that firm defaults are correlated and that some defaults are … more likely to occur in bad times. The paper uses risk premium computed from corporate credit spreads to measure a firm …'s exposure to systematic variation in default risk. Unlike previously used measures that proxy for a firm's physical probability …
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Asset Pricing, Default Risk. - The central question of this thesis is whether firm distress risk explains stock returns …. This question is important because it has been suspected that distress risk might reconcile a growing evidence on patterns …
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In this paper, we intend to explain an empirical finding that distressed stocks delivered anomalously low returns (Campbell et. al. (2008)). We show that in a model where investors have heterogeneous preferences, the expected return of risky assets depends on idiosyncratic coskewness betas,...
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