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In this paper, I investigate how predictive algorithms change market outcomes in the housing market. By focusing on the effect of the Zestimate home valuation on housing markets, I investigate to what extent the market participants rely on the Zillow's estimated market value when making the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012835894
This article provides the in-sample estimation and evaluates the out-of-sample conditional mean and volatility forecast …-sample estimation but poorly in the out-of-sample forecast. For the post-crisis out-of-sample forecasts, all models naturally performed … poorly in conditional mean and volatility forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013012057
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We develop a new housing seach index (HSI) extracted from online search activity on a limited set of keywords related to the house buying process. We show that HSI has strong predictive power for subsequent changes in house prices, both in-sample and out-of-sample, and after controlling for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013238329
We conduct a comprehensive international study of predictability in housing markets using the rent-price ratio as a predictive variable. On data from 18 OECD countries we generally find return predictability in accordance with time-varying risk-premia, but we also document two puzzles. First,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013036157
This paper investigates the housing market bubbles and the predictive nature of returns in Turkey by employing the Fully Modified OLS and the Dynamic OLS on time series data from January 2010-January 2019.The study provides new evidence on the long run boom in Turkish house prices. The drivers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012830773
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On the 22nd of February 2011, much of the residential housing stock in the city of Christchurch, New Zealand, was damaged by an unusually destructive earthquake. Almost all of the houses were insured. We ask whether insurance was able to mitigate the damage adequately, or whether the damage from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012288010
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