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the ability of local as well as aggregate variables to forecast real estate returns. We illustrate a number of these …
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In this paper, we evaluate the forecasting ability of 145 indicators and ten types of forecast combination schemes to … facilitate substantial improvements of the forecasts, given the local nature of the real-estate markets. The forecast accuracy of … possible to detect when using full-sample estimation information. On average, the forecast improvements attain about 20 …
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In this paper the authors present an agent-based model of a credit network economy. The artificial economy includes different economic agents that interact using simple behavioral rules through various markets, i.e., the consumption goods market, the labor market, the credit market and the...
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