Financially constrained borrowers have the incentive to influence the appraisal process in order to increase borrowing or reduce the interest rate. We document that the average valuation bias for residential refinance transactions is above 5%. The bias is larger for highly leveraged...

The overwhelming empirical support of the Efficient Market Hypothesis makes it one of the widely accepted understandings in modern economics. The internal contradiction, relating to the fact that if inefficiencies didn't exist, opportunists would not search for them, which would in turn give...

Most existing studies conclude that the accuracy of analysts' target prices is questionable. In forecasting target prices, analysts estimate a future stock price under the constraint of a time frame of usually 12 months. We exclude this source of uncertainty by focusing on valuations in takeover...

The momentum effect is a systematic inefficiency in the market that can be exploited by a trading strategy. This conclusion is supported by theoretical and empirical evidence. But the academic research that tries to quantify the performance of this kind of strategy often relies on a methodology...

Witnessing stock market history in the making leaves behind a vivid story, but does not provide valuable information. Nevertheless, well-versed finance professionals extrapolate from witnessed returns when forming beliefs about expected returns which we show by using a unique dataset regarding...

The paper contributes to the rare literature modeling term structure of crude oil markets. We explain term structure of crude oil prices using dynamic Nelson-Siegel model, and propose to forecast them with the generalized regression framework based on neural networks. The newly proposed...

The hidden order is currently increasingly popular as a standard feature of electronic limit order book markets. The invisible order allows traders to hide all, or partially hide their orders to avoid exposure to risk. I propose a new hidden order detection algorithm for the limit order book to...

You're probably familiar, at least in passing, with the 'convexity' of long-term bonds - i.e. that yields dropping 1% produce a bigger price move than yields rising 1%. A significant amount of brainpower has gone into understanding all the ramifications of this convexity in the fixed income...

This paper provides the first evidence for empirical test of the effect of rational expectations as well as behavioral biases including among others animal spirits such as defined by Akerlof and Shiller (2009) on the variability of trading. Using a data for five international capital markets in...