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level of output during the recovery, we find that normal recessions are followed by strong recoveries in advanced economies …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010472544
I empirically analyze the dynamics of business investment following normal recessions (declines in business investment … for significant non-linear trend reversion or bounce-back effects on the level of business investment following normal … recessions, i.e., the deeper the previous recession was, the higher the growth rate of business investment will be. The trend …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010520556
I empirically analyze the dynamics of business investment following normal recessions (declines in business investment … for significant non-linear trend reversion or bounce-back effects on the level of business investment following normal … recessions, i.e., the deeper the previous recession was, the higher the growth rate of business investment will be. The trend …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011272151
during a crisis are important for post-crisis output recovery. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012206258
I identify new patterns in countries' economic performance over the 2007-2014 period based on proximity through distance, trade, and finance to the US subprime mortgage and Eurozone debt crisis areas. To understand the causes of the cross-country variation, I develop an open economy model with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011975657
We integrate bank and bond financing into a two-sector neoclassical growth model to examine the stabilization effect of endogenous bank leverage adjustment. We show that although bank leverage amplifies shocks, the increase of leverage to a decline in bank equity is an automatic stabilizer in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012134794
Using new quarterly U.S. data for the past 120 years, I show that sudden reversals in equity and credit market sentiment approximated by several measures of corporate securities issuance are highly predictive of banking crises and recessions. Deviations in equity issuance from historical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012431742
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009782580
The empirical literature on systemic banking crises (SBCs) has shown that SBCs are rare events that break out in the midst of credit intensive booms and bring about particularly deep and long-lasting recessions. We attempt to explain these phenomena within a dynamic general equilibrium model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013086964
Typical systemic risk measurement barely captures the dynamic risk characteristics of the entire banking system. Experience from past financial crises shows, major indicators in financial markets have clustered volatility during periods of economic downturns. This study focuses on the overall...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012898293