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to detect cross-member cointegration and to distinguish between international and national developments as drivers of the … long-run relation between money and its determinants. Indeed, cointegration between the common factors of the underlying … variables, i.e. cross-member cointegration, indicates that the long-run relationship is mainly driven by international …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013130643
By adopting the bounds testing for cointegration framework in Pesaran et al. (2001), this paper investigates the …-run relationship between money demand and income, expected inflation, exchange rates and gold price, regardless of M1, M2 or M2 without …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013090668
The concept of integrated stochastic processes is widely used in empirical macroeconomics; and cointegration analysis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012951750
African States (ECOWAS). A standard money demand function is designed and estimated using a bounds testing approach to co-integration …. This divergence is informed by differences in cointegration, stability, short run and long term determinants, and error …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011998536
inflation rate is found to be a better proxy for an opportunity variable when compared to interest rate. The main implication of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011668531
within a panel cointegration framework. Besides the total net issues, we distinguish between large, medium and small euro …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011872942
A low-inflation mystery emerged during the 2010-2019 period as the Federal Reserve struggled to hit its two percent … inflation target. This paper presents theoretical results and empirical evidence that points to the safe asset shortage as a key … reason for the low inflation during this time. Specifically, the paper shows that the safe asset shortage was part of a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013298859
This study computes Divisia monetary aggregates DM1, DM2, and DM3 for Nige- ria using the Tornqvist-Theil quantity index for the period 2007M12 to 2020M12 and evaluates the performance of the higher-order aggregate (DM3) with a corre- sponding higher aggregate of the simple sum broad money...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014282087
This paper evaluates the predictive out-of-sample forecasting properties of six different economic uncertainty …. The core contention is that economic uncertainty improves both forecast accuracy as well as direction-of-change forecasts … an increased relevance of certain economic uncertainty measures for forecasting growth in both real aggregate as well as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011713871
circumstances more appropriate than the latter. What is more, they deliver results that are more in line with the economic theory …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010327317