We estimate credit and GDP cycles for three Latin American economies and study their relation in the frequency domain. We compute coherence statistics between credit and GDP cycles and find that the highest correlations between these two cycles are obtained in medium-term frequencies. Spectral...

This paper provides evidence of short-run predictability for the real exchange rate by performing out-of-sample tests of a forecasting equation which is derived from a consumption-based asset pricing model. In this model, the real exchange rate is predictable as a result of the implications of...

This paper provides evidence of short-run predictability for the real exchange rate by performing out-of-sample tests of a forecasting equation which is derived from a consumption-based asset pricing model. In this model, the real exchange rate is predictable as a result of the implications of...

In the context of financial crises influenced by the development and burst of housing price bubbles, the detection of exuberant behaviors in the financial market and the implementation of early warning diagnosis tests are of vital importance. This paper applies the new method developed by...

Purpose: This paper tests the impact of the financial structure of banks on the bank lending channel of monetary policy transmission in Colombia. Design/methodology/approach: We use a monthly panel of 51 commercial banks for the period 1996:4–2014:8. Findings: An increase in the monetary...

In this paper we estimate the effect of government consumption shocks on GDP using a panel of 21 developing economies. Our goal is to better understand the reasons for the low fiscal multipliers found in the literature by performing estimations for alternative exchange rate regimes,...

In this paper we estimate the effect of government consumption shocks on GDP using a panel of 21 developing economies. Our goal is to better understand the reasons for the low fiscal multipliers found in the literature by performing estimations for alternative exchange rate regimes,...