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We characterize asset return linkages during periods of stress by an extremal dependence measure. Contrary to correlation analysis, this non-parametric measure is not predisposed towards the normal distribution and can account for non-linear relationships. Our estimates for the G-5 countries...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604117
crisis levels, the probability that the other currency breaks down as well vanishes asymptotically if the fundamentals … probability that the other currency breaks down as well remains strictly positive even in the limit. This result implies that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604370
This paper derives indicators of the severity and structure of banking system risk from asymptotic interdependencies between banks’ equity prices. We use new tools available from multivariate extreme value theory to estimate individual banks’ exposure to each other (“contagion risk”) and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604573
In this study we apply cluster analysis techniques, including a novel smoothing method, to detect some basic patterns and trends in the euro area banking sector in terms of the degree of homogeneity of countries. We find that in the period 1998-2004 the banking sectors in the euro area countries...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604673
In this study we combine clustering techniques with a moving window algorithm in order to filter financial market data outliers. We apply the algorithm to a set of financial market data which consists of 25 series selected from a larger dataset using a cluster analysis technique taking into...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604994
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011622965
At the end of 2015, the Deutsche Bundesbank had issued a total net amount of just over €45 billion in €20 banknotes. In statistical terms, each resident living in Germany was therefore issued with around 30 banknotes of this denomination. Up until now, it was not clear how many of these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011687786
There is vast heterogeneity in the human willingness to weigh others' interests in decision making. This heterogeneity concerns the motivational intricacies as well as the strength of other-regarding behaviors, and raises the question how one can parsimoniously model and characterize...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011969209
We analyze a corpus of 564 business cycle forecast reports for the German economy. The dataset covers nine institutions and 27 years. From the entire reports we select the parts that refer exclusively to the forecast of the German economy. Sentiment and frequency analysis confirm that the mode...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011985269
spatial autocorrelation pattern, therefore, the probability of failure in a firm not only depends on its internal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011995027