In order to find the real market value of an asset in an exchange economy, one would typically apply the formula appearing in Lucas(1978), developed in a discrete time framework. This theory has also been extended to continuous time models, in which case the same pricing formula has been...

Dollar Cost Averaging is a strategy for purchasing equity securities that is widely recommended by professional investment advisors and commentators, but which has been virtually ignored by academic theorists and textbook writers. In this paper we explore whether the strategy is but another...

We provide a novel method for extracting estimates of realized pure price inflation from stock returns. The key is recognizing that pure price inflation should a®ect nominal returns of all traded assets by exactly the same amount. The popular Fama- French three-factor model is employed to...

The pricing equation of Ross' (1976) APT model is derived using estimable parameters. Estimation errors are discussed in the framework of elementary perturbation analysis. Theoretically, a simple link is provided among the mean-variance efficient set mathematics, mutual fund separations,...

Traditionally, volume has provided the link between trading activity and returns. We focus on a hitherto unexplored but intuitive measure of trading activity: the aggregate daily order imbalance on the New York Stock Exchange. Signed order imbalances increase (decrease) following market declines...

This paper argues that liquidity differences between government securities and short term Eurodollar borrowings account for interest rate swap spreads. It then models liquidity as a linear function of two mean- reverting state variables and values it. The interest rate swap spread for a swap of...

We develop an estimation method for the Diagonal Multivariate GARCH model. For a vector of size N unidimensional GARCH processes for the diagonal elements of the conditional covariance matrix, and N(N-1)/2 bivariate GARCH processes for the off-diagonal elements of the conditional covariance...

Suppose that the equity premium is forecasted by dividend yields. Even if such a relationship does exist, there is so much noise in the equity premium that estimation, inference and forecasting cannot be carried out using the faint signal coming from the dividend yields. For analyzing...