This paper investigates the process determining mutual funds' conditional probability of closure, i.e. their hazard function. Using a nonparametric approach to estimate the effects of a fund's age on its hazard rate, we find a distinctly nonlinear, inverse U-shaped pattern in the relationship....

There are a large number of tests for instability or breaks in coefficients in regression models designed for different possible departures from a stable regression. We make two contributions to this literature. First, we provide conditions under which optimal tests are asymptotically...

In this paper we consider the problem of efficient estimation in conditional quantile models with time series data. Our first result is to derive the semiparametric efficiency bound in time series models of conditional quantiles; this is a nontrivial extension of a large body of work on...

The paper measures the impact of high school resources on women's educational attainment and earnings. No link emerges between education and school resources - as measured by the pupil-teacher ratio, spending per pupil, teachers' starting salaries or books per student. For white women, no...

In this paper, we develop the theoretical and empirical properties of a new class of multivariate GARCH models capable of estimating large time-varying covariance matrices, Dynamic Conditional Correlation Multivariate GARCH. We show that the problem of multivariate conditional variance...

We explore the extension of James-Stein type estimators in a direction that enables them to preserve their superiority when the sample size goes to infinity. Instead of shrinking a base estimator towards a fixed point, we shrink it towards a data-dependent point. We provide an analytic...

This paper analyzes the determinants of protectionism in a small open economy with search frictions. This this environment, jobs generate rents whose access depends on the level of trade protectionn. By raising the domestic price of a good, a government may attract more firms in a particular...

"Hide-and-Seek" games are zero-sum two-person games in which one player wins by matching the other's decision and the other wins by mismatching. Although such games are often played on cultural or geographic "landscapes" that frame decisions non-neutrally, equilibrium ignores such framing. This...

A novel linked employer-employee data set documents that expanding multinational enterprises retain more domestic jobs than competitors without foreign expansion. In contrast to prior research, a propensity score estimator allows enterprise performance to vary with foreign direct investment...

The paper tests for a link between unionization and research and development rates (research and development expenditures divided by output) in thirteen aggregate Canadian industries. A balanced panel of thirteen industries covering 1968 to 1986 reveals a negative relationship between industry...