Showing 71 - 80 of 88
We establish functional central limit theorems for a broad class of dependent, heterogeneous tail arrays encountered in the extreme value literature, including extremal exceedances, tail empirical processes and tail empirical quantile processes. We trim dependence assumptions down to a minimum...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005417227
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005616231
The aim of this paper is to give a formal definition and consistent estimates of the extremes of a population. This definition relies on a threshold value that delimits the extremes and on the uniform convergence of the distribution of these extremes to a Pareto type distribution. The tail...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005699657
In this paper, we are interested in the generalization and improvement of the estimator of the conditional tail expectation (CTE) for a heavy-tailed distribution when the second moment is infinite. It is well known that classical estimators of the CTE are seriously biased under the second-order...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010719094
Power-law tail behavior and the summation scheme of Levy-stable distributions is the basis for their frequent use as models when fat tails above a Gaussian distribution are observed. However, recent studies suggest that financial asset returns exhibit tail exponents well above the Levy-stable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009003619
In this paper we study the finite sample behavior of the Hill estimator under α-stable distributions. Using large Monte Carlo simulations we show that the Hill estimator overestimates the true tail exponent and can hardly be used on samples with small length. Utilizing our results, we introduce...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008565823
This study introduces a technique to estimate the Pareto distribution of the stock exchange index by using the maximum-likelihood Hill estimator. Recursive procedures based on the goodness-of-fit statistics are used to determine the optimal threshold fraction of extreme values to be included in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008773831
The economic and political instability of most of the Arab countries may lead to the assumption that Arab stock markets are riskier and less predictable than stock markets in developed countries. Value at Risk (VaR) measures risk exposure at a given probability level and is very important for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008852359
A new approach to tail index estimation based on huberization of the Pareto MLE is considered. The proposed estimator is robust in a nonstandard way in that it protects against deviations from the central model at low quantiles. Asymptotic normality with the parametric n-rate of convergence is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011056385
This paper assesses the empirical validity of Zipf¿s Law for cities, using new data on 73 countries and two estimation methods ¿ OLS and the Hill estimator. With either estimator, we reject Zipf¿s Law far more often than we would expect based on random chance; for 53 out of 73 countries using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011071193