In this paper we analyse the unit root hypothesis when the variable being studied exhibits two changes in its mean. To that end, we design a new statistic which tests for the joint hypothesis that the autoregressive parameter is 1 and that the parameters associated with the structural breaks...

The purpose of this paper is to investigate the ability of parameter instability tests in regressions with I(1) processes to discriminate between changes in the cointegrating relationship and changes in the marginal distribution of the regressors. Using annual data for the G-7 countries and the...

We investigate the long-run relationship between the real exchange rate, traded and non-traded productivity levels, and government spending for 14 OECD countries, using recently developed panel cointegration tests. The results indicate that under certain assumptions it is easier to detect...

In this paper we analyze the adjustment dynamics of the euro-dollar real exchange rate towards one of the most relevant fundamentals: relative productivity. Using testing and estimation non-linear procedures for ESTAR models for the period 1970-2002, we find that the speed of real exchange rate...

This paper examines the long-run validity of purchasing power parity (PPP) for four high-inflation countries. The method of Zivot and Andrews (1992) is employed to detect the time-series behavior of the exchange rates and consumer price indices of these countries. We find that these variables...

This paper estimates the equilibirum level of the real exchange rate for Indonesia in order to measure the extent of overvaluation of the rupiah at the time of the Asian crisis in 1997. The equilibrium level of the real exchange rate is measured using cointegration approach, unobserved component...

This paper proposes a hybrid monetary model of the dollar-yen exchange rate that takes into account factors affecting the conventional monetary model’s building blocks. In particular, the hybrid monetary model is based on the incorporation of real stock prices to enhance money demand stability...

The persistence properties of economic time series has been a primary object of investigation in a variety of guises since the early days of econometrics. This paper suggests investigating the persistence of processes conditioning on their history. In particular we suggest that examining the...

This study examined the short-run and long-run effects of real exchange rate changes on the Nigeria's trade balance. The paper employed both linear and non-linear ARDL bounds testing approach to cointegration to test for the J-curve phenomenon in Nigeria using quarterly data spanning the period...

This study explores the stationarity of monthly Turkish real exchange rates based on both wholesale price indices and consumer price indices for the period 1990:1-2007:4. While the results from the conventional unit root tests fail to support stationarity of real exchange rates, the unit root...