This paper analyses the main statistical properties of the Emerging Market Bond Index (EMBI), namely long-range dependence or persistence, non-linearities, and structural breaks, in four Latin American countries (Argentina, Brazil, Mexico, Venezuela). For this purpose it uses a fractional...

The Fisher relation is a key theoretical relation that underlies many important results in economics and finance. Although the Fisher relation is apparently simple in theory, empirical analyses of the relation have mixed and weak results. We consider the possibility that weakness of the evidence...

This paper finds strong evidence of non-linear impact of long-horizon expected government deficits, measured by CBO projections, on expected future long-term interest rates for the US economy. The impact of a shock to expectations (“news shock”) in a regime where the expected deficit/GDP...

By using the sources of investment and based on provincial data, this paper examines the efficiency performance of the four sources of total investment in fixed assets in China for the period 1985-1998: state budget appropriation, national bank loans, self-raised funds, and foreign investment....

This paper examines the economic performance of financial resources in China's provinces for the period 1985-1998. The empirical results indicate that different financial resources have different impacts on the economic growth. The growth of national bank loans and self-raised funds are...

This study examines both the short-run and long-run relationship among Information and Communication Technology (ICT), economic growth and electricity consumption using annual time-series data for India for the period 1991–2014. All the variables under study are I (1) as per...

The aim of this paper is to investigate the empirical relationship between daily fluctuations in the risk premium for holding a large diversified credit portfolio, which we approximate by a benchmark credit index, and some tradeable market factors which capture systematic risk. The analysis is...

This article provides a mathematical and empirical investigation of the reasons for the presence of skewness and kurtosis in financial data. The results indicate that this phenomenon is triggered by higher-order moment dependencies in the data, such as asymmetric and conditional volatility....

What is the relationship between gold prices and inflation? The answer does not only depend on the studied time window, but also on the definition of inflation. We work with forty years of data and apply a Johansen test of cointegration to the price of gold and inflation indices in the United...

This paper examines the predictability of a range of international stock markets where we allow the presence of both local and global predictive factors. Recent research has argued that US returns have predictive power for international stock returns. We expand this line of research, following...