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The existing replication policies at top finance journals are far weaker than the policies at top economics journals. This paper explores both the costs and benefits of having a stronger replication policy in the context of my failed 2010 initiative to develop a unified policy across all top...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012867841
Equity index collar strategies are often perceived as a way for investors, at little to no cost, to exchange some upside exposure for reduced losses on the downside. That perception may be accurate if one considers only the net dollar cost of the strategy's initial option trades, but it fails to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012970450
Recent equity volatility is near all-time lows. Option prices are also low. Many analysts suggest this represents a good opportunity to purchase put options for portfolio insurance.It is well-known that portfolio insurance is expensive on average, but what about in calm markets? History suggests...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012972030
Equity index covered calls have historically provided attractive risk-adjusted returns largely because they collect equity and volatility risk premia from their long equity and short volatility exposures. However, they also embed exposure to an uncompensated risk, a naïve equity market reversal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012973160
A covered call is a long position in a security and a short position in a call option on that security. Equity index covered calls are an attractive strategy to many investors because they have realized returns not much lower than those of the equity market but with much lower volatility....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012973161
Abstract. This paper describes how an efficient and exact Monte-Carlo simulation of the Hull-White model could be performed. For that purpose the joint conditional distribution of the short interest rate and the discount factor is derived. The proposed approach can be straightforward extended to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013007339
Stocks with high idiosyncratic volatility perform poorly relative to low idiosyncratic volatility stocks. We offer a novel explanation of this anomaly based on real options, which is consistent with earlier findings on idiosyncratic volatility (the positive contemporaneous relation between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013007739
Ross recovery specifies conditions under which it is possible to recover the real-world probability measure as well as the pricing kernel from a family of pricing operators. In this paper, we study Ross recovery theoretically within a semigroup framework using Perron-Frobenius operator theory....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012852903
We use a new method to estimate ex ante higher order moments of stock market returns from option prices. Even and odd number higher order moments are strongly negatively correlated, creating periods where the return distribution is riskier because it is more left-skewed and fat tailed. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012853473
Recently, Ross (2015) showed that the real-world probability distribution of a discrete Markovian state variable can be recovered from observed option prices. The so-called recovery theorem follows from Perron-Frobenius matrix theory when the pricing kernel is transition independent. In this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012854129