This paper evaluates the effect of payment reduction on mortgage default within the context of the Home Affordable Refinance Program (HARP). We find that mortgage default is sensitive to payment reduction using univariate, duration, and hazard modeling approaches. A relative risk Cox model of...

This paper examines the potential market impacts of continuous forbearance mortgages (CFM). This mortgage design embeds an insurance contract at origination that reduces the interest bearing balance to the smaller of the unpaid balance and an estimate of the current home value in exchange for an...

Asymptotic local power analysis has become an important and increasingly used technique in econometrics. This paper reviews the history of local power analysis and delineates the contribution of J. Neyman, E.J.G. Pitman, and G. Noether

This paper examines whether identification is a 'common' or 'rare' phenomenon in nonlinear parametric models. For several broad classes of models, it is shown that there is an open and dense subset of identified models, and that consequently the set of nonidentified models is nowhere dense. The...

This paper offers a new method for nonparametric estimation - based on the Cobb-Douglas form - that is simple, easy to interpret, efficient among the class of all linear nonparametric estimators, and nearly efficient among all nonparametric estimators. Thus empirical analysts who prefer the...

The foreclosure crisis that began in 2008 triggered the need for new approaches to treat distressed mortgages. A key component of the Obama Administration's Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP) was the development of a standardized Net Present Value (NPV) model to identify troubled loans...

The foreclosure crisis that began in 2008 triggered the need for new approaches to treat distressed mortgages. A key component of the Obama Administration's Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP) was the development of a standardized Net Present Value (NPV) model to identify troubled loans...

The effects of skills achieved in early adulthood—as measured by the Armed Forces Qualifying Test (AFQT) score, the Rotter score, and Deming’s (2017) Social score—are shown to impact education, income, and homeownership levels achieved in later life. Mediation analysis is used to identify...