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Business Cycle Convergence or Decoupling? Economic Adjustment in CESEE During the Crisis
Gächter, Martin - 2014
We analyze business cycle convergence in the EU by focusing on the decoupling vs. convergence hypothesis for central …) and cyclical correlation. The results are mainly driven by smaller countries, which can be explained by the fact that … correlation levels of CESEE countries with the EA after their EU accession in 2004. Finally, we find a significant decoupling of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013064345
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Who will be the next in line to join the Euro Area? : a business cycle synchronization evidence
Duarte, António Portugal; Silva, Nuno Baetas da; … - 2022
Sweden and the Euro Area, Germany, and France. The second highest correlation was observed for the Czech Republic followed by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013191264
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A sustainable Euro area with exit options
Ritzen, Jozef M. M.; Haas, Jasmina - 2016
the convergence in labor productivity between EU member states, while the more likely low growth scenario shows a serious …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011582732
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Floating versus fixed: How exchange rate regimes affect business cycles comovement between advanced and emerging economies
Elgahry, Baher Ahmed - In: Cogent Economics & Finance 10 (2022) 1, pp. 1-18
This article investigates the effects of the different exchange rate regimes on business cycles comovement between advanced and emerging countries. We use the Granger Causality test (VAR model) on panel data to examine the causal relationships. Our findings show the existence of a bidirectional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015074202
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Dissecting Trade and Business Cycle Co-movement
Ko, Paul - 2020
that international real business cycle models should be predicting a much stronger link between trade and the correlation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012840130
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Foreign shocks as granular fluctuations
Di Giovanni, Julian; Levchenko, Andrei A.; Méjean, Isabelle - 2020
This paper uses a data set covering the universe of French firm-level sales, imports, and exports over the period 1993-2007 and a quantitative multi-country model to study the international transmission of business cycle shocks at both the micro and the macro levels. The largest firms are both...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012319273
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Foreign Shocks as Granular Fluctuations
di Giovanni, Julian; Levchenko, Andrei A.; Mejean, Isabelle - 2020
This paper uses a data set covering the universe of French firm-level sales, imports, and exports over the period 1993-2007 and a quantitative multi-country model to study the international transmission of business cycle shocks at both the micro and the macro levels. The largest firms are both...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014090698
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Floating versus fixed : how exchange rate regimes affect business cycles comovement between advanced and emerging economies
Elgahry, Baher Ahmed - In: Cogent economics & finance 10 (2022) 1, pp. 1-18
This article investigates the effects of the different exchange rate regimes on business cycles comovement between advanced and emerging countries. We use the Granger Causality test (VAR model) on panel data to examine the causal relationships. Our findings show the existence of a bidirectional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013373499
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Business Cycle Synchronization or Business Cycle Transmission? The Effect of the German Slowdown on the Italian Economy
Mistretta, Alessandro - 2021
This work analyses the effects of the slowdown that has hit Germany since 2018 on the Italian economy using data from Banca d’Italia’s Survey of Inflation and Growth Expectations. First, we briefly argue that these two economies are highly interconnected and describe the slowdown that has...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013313730
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Industry volatility and international trade
Ardelean, Adina; León-Ledesma, Miguel A.; Puzzello, Laura - 2017
We develop an empirical framework that allows us to account for producer-country, industry, and demand shocks as drivers of volatility at the industry level in open economies. Our methodology separately accounts for demand shocks originating in the home and foreign markets. Using a panel of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011657322