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suggests that investors and analysts do not, on average, adjust their expectations for the extra week. The ease with which 14 … and analysts …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013156700
I provide evidence that investors overweight analyst forecasts by demonstrating that prices do not fully reflect predictable components of analyst errors, which conflicts with conclusions in prior research. I highlight estimation bias in traditional approaches and develop a new approach that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010665566
achieving analysts’ target prices at some time during the forecast horizon. These results suggest that the analysts fail to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011139804
. Prices move more, as hypothesized, in firms where tone surprise predicts more strongly. Experienced analysts respond … appropriately in revising their forecasts; inexperienced analysts overreact (underreact) to tone surprises in presentations (answers …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011145406
Analysts' functions are divided into discovery and interpretation roles, but separating between the two is non …-trivial. We conjecture that analysts' interpretation skill can be gauged by their forecast revisions following material … unanticipated 8-Ks are informative for analysts, and find that analysts who are more likely to revise their forecasts following …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013035617
Analysts providing more accurate earnings forecasts also issue more profitable recommendations. We demonstrate how … investors can profit from this contemporaneous link by differentiating between able and lucky analysts. In line with previous … analysts working in a superior environment provide consistently profitable recommendations. The overall profitability of their …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010311646
Analysts providing more accurate earnings forecasts also issue more profitable recommendations. We demonstrate how … investors can profit from this contemporaneous link by differentiating between able and lucky analysts. In line with previous … analysts working in a superior environment provide consistently profitable recommendations. The overall profitability of their …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010957255
recommendation profitability (Loh and Mian (2006)). Differentiating between 'able' and 'lucky' analysts we suggest an implementable … our 1994 - 2007 sample period. Rather than past track records analysts' characteristics indicate their ability to identify … indicates that the ability is real. Able analysts can distinguish between firms that will over- or underperform. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008727843
Market efficiency has been analyzed through many studies using different linear methods. However, studies on financial econometrics reveal that financial time series exhibit nonlinear patterns because of various reasons. This paper examines market efficiency at Borsa Istanbul using a smooth...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012038735
The level of daily stock returns is generally regarded as unpredictable. Instead of the level, we focus on the signs of these returns and generate forecasts using various statistical classification techniques, such as logistic regression, generalized additive models, or neural networks. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011813537