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We estimate a SVAR for the Australian economy based on an open economy New Keynesian model. Deep structural parameters are identified by placing exclusion restrictions on the VAR residuals and the covariance matrix. Parameter estimates suggest that the New Keynesian specification fits Australian...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010541535
This paper proposes an empirical analysis of monetary policy shocks effects on the real economic aggregates and prices with the help of vector autoregressive (VAR) in the context of Central and Eastern European countries. Model specification is different for each type of monetary policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010934752
We propose a method for estimating a subset of the parameters of a structural rational expectations model by exploiting changes in policy. We define a class of models, midway between a vector autoregression and a structural model, that we call the recoverable structure. As an application of our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635894
We estimate a SVAR for the Australian economy based on an open economy New Keynesian model. Deep structural parameters are identified by placing exclusion restrictions on the VAR residuals and the covariance matrix. Parameter estimates suggest that the New Keynesian specification fits Australian...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008867267
The paper aims to investigate the potential impact of unemployment rates (both recorded and ILO) on the Romanian shadow economy (SE) for quarterly data covering the period 2000-2013, using ARDL cointegration method in conjunction with the structural VAR (SVAR) analysis in order to provide...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011122626
Para los bancos centrales con régimen de inflación-objetivo modificar la tasa de interés de política monetaria como respuesta a la apreciación de la tasa cambio puede poner en riesgo el cumplimiento de la meta de inflación. Este trabajo determina qué tan importante ha sido el...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011152868
For the purpose of monetary policy analyses dynamic multivariate models are usually applied. The reason is the presence of significant lags between an action and the appropriate effects in the economy. We use the concept of structural VAR models, widely used approach next to the DSGE and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011228265
A conventional finding of recursive structural VAR (SVAR) analyses is the price puzzle namely the positive relationship between interest rates and inflation. We employ a Markov regime-switching structural VAR (MRS-SVAR) to investigate whether the price puzzle is present at regimes where there is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010659586
This paper characterizes the monetary policy in Brazil through a forward-looking Taylor-rule-type reaction function before and after the Real plan, which stabilized inflation in July 1994. The results show that the interest rate response to inflation was greater than one-to-one before...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010579006
I develop a new method for approximating and estimating nonlinear, non-Gaussian state space models. I show that any such model can be well approximated by a discrete-state Markov process and estimated using techniques developed in Hamilton (1989). Through Monte Carlo simulations, I demonstrate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013048908