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Social learning (SL) is a behavioral model in which expectations and the resulting aggregate dynamics stem from the interactions of a large amount of heterogeneous agents. Nonetheless, this framework has so far lacked micro-foundations and a general-solution method. This paper bridges these two...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014350624
In the last few years, several articles have been devoted to the study of model uncertainty in the New Keynesian model using robust control methods. Most studies have focused on how to design a robust monetary policy to take model uncertainty more seriously. Little attention has, however, been...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012720326
This paper investigates how different monetary policy designs alter the effect of carry trades on a host small open economy. Capital inflows are expansionary, leading the central bank to raise the interest rate, increasing carry trades' returns, and generating further capital inflows (carry...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012830933
This paper argues that individuals may rationally weight price increases for food and energy products differently from their expenditure shares when forming expectations about price inflation. We develop a simple dynamic model of the economy with gradual price adjustment in the core sector and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013006057
This paper contributes to the debate whether central banks should respond to asset prices, credit spreads and other financial factors in setting monetary policy, by evaluating determinacy and expectational stability of equilibria under various monetary policy rules. With adaptive learning,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012987763
The paper considers optimal monetary stabilization policy in a forward-looking model, when the central bank recognizes that private-sector expectations need not be precisely model-consistent, and wishes to choose a policy that will be as good as possible in the case of any beliefs that are close...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012777478
This paper estimates a New Keynesian model extended to include heterogeneous expectations, to revisit the evidence that postwar US macroeconomic data can be explained as the outcome of passive monetary policy, indeterminacy, and sunspot-driven fluctuations in the pre-1979 sample, with a switch...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012836715
We study the impact of adaptive learning for the design of a robust monetary policy using a small open-economy New Keynesian model. We find that slightly departing from rational expectations substantially changes the way the central bank deals with model misspecification. Learning induces an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012292350
This paper explores the joint effects of prudential regulation and monetary policy in a hybrid agent-based-stock-flow-consistent model featuring an agent-based banking sector. The model is calibrated to a deterministic steady state and a subset of its free parameters are subsequently estimated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012906899
A central tenet of inflation targeting is that establishing and maintaining well-anchored inflation expectations are essential. In this paper, we reexamine the role of key elements of the inflation targeting framework towards this end, in the context of an economy where economic agents have an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012731667