Showing 109,131 - 109,140 of 109,586
This paper, using T-GARCH models, finds that the United States has been the major source of price and volatility … ""stock market correction"" period. There is also evidence of structural breaks in the stock price and volatility dynamics …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399563
While the relationship between volatility and credit risk is central to much of the literature on finance and banking … estimates for a panel of 25 emerging market countries over 1970-2001, breaking down aggregate volatility into its external and … domestic policy components. We find that countries with historically higher macroeconomic volatility are more prone to default …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399565
high frequency. The model yields predictions on biweekly patterns of the federal funds rate’s volatility and on its …. Theoretical results are consistent with empirical patterns of interest rate volatility in the U.S. market for federal funds …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399599
Using realized volatility to estimate conditional variance of financial returns, we compare forecasts of volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399678
appropriately. Finally, we implement a simple stochastic volatility model and simulate the credit transition matrix for two large … the constant volatility case. In particular, it can shift CTM probabilities towards lower credit risk categories …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399716
The aim of this paper is to evaluate the welfare gains from financial integration for developing and emerging market economies. To do so, we build a stochastic endogenous growth model for a small open economy that can (i) borrow from the rest of the world, (ii) invest in foreign assets, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399779
This paper compares the pattern of macroeconomic volatility in 17 Latin American countries during episodes of high and … low growth since 1970, examining in particular the role of policy volatility. Macroeconomic outcomes are distinguished … policy volatility is associated with lower growth, but fiscal policy procyclicality is not. Low levels of market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399792
This paper examines the impact of trade costs on real exchange rate volatility. We incorporate a multi … exchange rate volatility depends on relative technological differences and trade costs. These differences highlight a new … volatility. We then test the importance of this channel using a large panel of cross-country data over 1970-97, and find strong …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399797
This paper examines the relevance of PPP, the adjustment channel of real exchange rate and the predictability of the movement in nominal exchange rate by studying the behavior of yen/DM exchange rate, using cointegration method. Results support PPP and find that the real exchange rate is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399967
Statistical measures of the volatility of exchange rates, interest rates, and stock prices are estimated for a number … of countries. Periods of high volatility are identified and compared with periods of financial difficulty. The results … indicate that GARCH models of volatility could be potentially useful in assessing financial soundness. Daily data are more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399985