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In this paper we estimate a small model of the euro area to be used as a laboratory for evaluating the performance of alternative monetary policy strategies. We start with the relationship between output and inflation and investigate the fit of the nominal wage contracting model due to Taylor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005022446
In this paper, we examine the cost of insurance against model uncertainty for the Euro area considering four alternative reference models, all of which are used for policy-analysis at the ECB. We find that maximal insurance across this model range in terms of a Minimax policy comes at moderate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005345043
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005345707
This note shows that the Svensson versus McCallum and Nelson controversy battled in the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review (September/ October 2005) can be mapped into a static version of a New Keynesian macro model that consists of an IS-equation, a Phillips curve and an inflation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009226111
This paper introduces a novel monetary policy framework where the exchange rate becomes the central instrument. Using Singapore as a case study, it explores the Monetary Authority's adoption of the exchange rate as the primary tool since 1981, diverging from conventional approaches centered on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014538995
Optimal monetary policy studies typically rely on a single structural model and identification of model-specific rules that minimize the unconditional volatilities of inflation and real activity. In our proposed approach, we take a large set of structural models and look for the model-robust...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014364060
The nature of the relationship between asset price movements and monetary policy is a currently hotly debated topic in macroeconomics. We analyse that relationship using a standard dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model, augmented by an equation featuring the asset prices deviations from a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008463022
The United Kingdom is a highly open economy, and has a monetary policy strategy of targeting inflation in consumer prices. In this Paper, we look at the evidence from the UK on inflation behaviour, and examine the propositions from several theoretical models about inflation dynamics in an open...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662158
The volatile data for inflation, output, and interest rates in the United Kingdom prior to the 1990s, and the relative macroeconomic stability associated with inflation targeting, provide a rich basis for discriminating between rival explanations for the outbreak of stagflation. We examine...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005667056
In this Paper we study the role of the exchange rate in conducting monetary policy in an economy with near-zero nominal interest rates as experienced in Japan since the mid-1990s. Our analysis is based on an estimated model of Japan, the United States and the euro area with rational expectations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005788995