During the 1950-70s Norway had relatively low GDP per capita compared to the OECD average and even more so compared to Denmark and Sweden. During the 1970s there was a significant catch-up in incomes and from the early 1990s a "take-off" in relative income. Norway is currently ranked among the...

Energy and agricultural commodities and markets have been examined extensively, albeit separately, for a number of years. In the energy literature, the returns, volatility and volatility spillovers (namely, the delayed effect of a returns shock in one asset on the subsequent volatility or...

An econometric model of world trade in iron or and steel was developed to examine the impact on world supply, demand, trade, and prices due to prolonged growth in Chinese industrial production. The model - built in 1993 adequately predicted the phenomenal growth in production and prices that...

In this paper, we re-examine two important aspects of the dynamics of relative primary commodity prices, namely the secular trend and the short run volatility. To do so, we employ 25 series, some of them starting as far back as 1650 and powerful panel data stationarity tests that allow for...

This paper examines the extent to which changes in global agricultural commodity price are transmitted to domestic prices in India and China. The focus is on short and medium-run adjustment processes using an error correction specification. In particular, we show that the extent of adjustment in...

Purpose of this paper:To analyze the impact of agricultural sector on the economy of North Cyprus, which suffers from political problems and drought over the years,Design/methodology/approach:Annual data covering 1975-2002 period has been used to find the direction of causality in Granger sense...

The aim of this study is twofold – on the one hand, to report a flow analysis based on historical trends of steel, from 1997 to 2008, across some leading geo-economic players; on the other, the analysis of long-term relationship between steel consumption and economic growth by the sensitivity...

Previous studies have focused on the co-movements between the prices of different types of energy and, to some extent, the co-movements between the energy and financial assets prices, falling short of analysing the comovements between the different types of energy and emission price. In this...

We examine the long memory property and structural break in the spot and futures gold volatility in Russia from 2008 through 2013. We find strong evidence of long memory in the volatility of both spot and futures gold series. The break dates are associated with the recent global financial...

New models to forecast the real price of oil on the basis of macroeconomic indicators and Google search data are proposed. A large-scale out-of-sample forecasting analysis comparing the different models is performed. It is found that models including both Google data and macroeconomic aggregates...