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Studies have identified an increase in the level of average stock return volatility. In this paper, we use the management forecast error as a proxy for disclosure quality to investigate the relationship between management forecast errors and idiosyncratic risk, as management forecasts are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010897011
We merge the literature on downside return risk and liquidity risk and introduce the concept of extreme downside liquidity (EDL) risks. The cross-section of stock returns reflects a premium if a stock's return (liquidity) is lowest at the same time when the market liquidity (return) is lowest....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010410457
This paper is the first to utilize a direct test for periodic, partially collapsing speculative bubbles in US REIT prices. A long history of data is employed for the All, Mortgage and Equity REIT categories. This approach is more powerful than existing tests and is based on the formulation of a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013150782
In the financial markets, contradictory opinions generate a set of constraints which mediate information through a system of expected target prices. As a result, prices are a measure of value as much as they are an indication of how these expectations concerning value remain valid. Thus, path...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013214875
This study investigates speculative bubbles in the cryptocurrency market and factors affecting bubbles during the COVID-19 pandemic. Our results indicate that each cryptocurrency covered in the study presented bubbles. Moreover, we found that explosive behavior in one currency leads to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013368517
We propose a price impact model where changes in prices are purely driven by the order flow in the market. The stochastic price impact of market orders and the arrival rates of limit and market orders are functions of the market liquidity process which reflects the balance of the demand and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014350248
Financial markets are seen as one of the most important markets in economic terms. The activities of investors in the financial markets consist in predicting how best to invest the accumulated capital, using all kinds of analyzes and forecasts. In the literature on the subject, apart from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014444916
We analyze the quality of macroeconomic survey forecasts. Recent findings indicate that they are anchoring biased. This irrationality would challenge the results of a wide range of empirical studies, e.g., in asset pricing, volatility clustering or market liquidity, which rely on survey data to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010306616
This paper builds a model of high-frequency equity returns by separately modeling the dynamics of trade-time returns and trade arrivals. Our main contributions are threefold. First, we characterize the distributional behavior of high-frequency asset returns both in ordinary clock time and in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011406341
Option-implied betas are a promising alternative to historical beta estimators, because they are inherently forward-looking and can incorporate new information immediately and fully. Recently, different implied beta estimators have been developed in previous literature, but very little is known...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010328874