Observed macroeconomic data – notably GDP growth rate, inflation and interest rates – can be, and usually are skewed. Economists attempt to fit models to data by matching first and second moments or co-moments, but skewness is usually neglected. It is so probably because skewness cannot...

This paper examines a process of order submissions and cancellations in the interbank order driven market of the EUR/PLN currency pair. Our contribution to the existing literature is twofold. We generalize the Asymmetric ACD model (AACD) of Bauwens & Giot (2003) with respect to more than two...

The aim of this paper is to assess the non-monetary effects of the euro accession of Poland. The literature identifies two channels that potentially may affect the economy: (i) diminishing of investment risk premia through lower interest rates and cost of capital services and (ii) trade creation...

The paper presents an update of the structural macroeconometric model of the Polish economy NECMOD. The updated version of the model is, similarly as its predecessor, used at the National Bank of Poland for forecasting and policy simulation exercises. NECMOD is a hybrid, medium-scale and...

Qualitative data on inflation perceptions and expectations, as obtained from surveys, can be quantified into numerical indicators of the perceived and expected rates of price change. This paper presents the results of different versions of probability and regression methods, implemented in order...

The aim of the paper is to check the influence of the degree of forward-lookingness of economic agents on the optimal monetary policy rules, using several versions of a small, highly aggregated structural model describing the transmission mechanism in the spirit of the New Keynesian School. We...

In recent decades, the banking sectors of many transition countries have been subject to globalization, deregulation and liberalization similar to that in industrialized countries such as the EU countries and the USA. Those changes are linked with merger and acquisition (M&A) processes aimed at...

The aim of this paper is a reconsideration of some features of first and second generation models of currency crises and some conclusions from these models. In particular, theoretical justification for the existence of multiple equilibria is put under discussion in a broader context of...