The literature assumes that the theory of uncovered interest parity fails because investing without cover is risky and investors are risk adverse. But covered interest parity implies that the theory can fail even when investors are risk neutral and hold when investors are risk adverse and there...

A complete solution to the forward-bias puzzle should provide an econometric solution and an economic explanation for that solution. A complete solution should also explain the closely related failure of uncovered interest parity. In addition it should explain some related anomalies. One such...

The forward-bias puzzle is probably the most important puzzle in international finance. But there is a simple solution. Covered interest parity implies that the forward-bias puzzle is the result of two omitted variables: (1) the future change in the forward exchange rate and (2) the future...

Bulgaria started the transition in the early 90’s with a sovereign default and debt restructuring. Later on, under a strict fiscal discipline, the country succeeded to reduce significantly its debt burden and is currently among the top EU performers in that respect. The current debt...

Cross contract regression analysis provides a framework for testing the statistical fit of the cost of carry model in the financial futures contracts, the 90â€Day Bank Accepted Bill Futures contract and the Australian All Ordinaries Share Price Index Futures contract. The interest rate to...

In this paper, the boundary conditions for put-call parity are extended to take into account the potential rational early exercise of an option and the possibility that dividends and capitalisation changes will differ from expectations. A series of statistical tests provide the basis for a...

This paper examines the pricing behaviour of the Australian share price index futures contracts, incorporating taxes and transaction costs. The Australian SPI futures contract provides an interesting research setting to investigate futures pricing because of the combination of a relatively...