-to-use method for human reliability analysis. Calculation of human error probability (HEP) rates is especially straightforward …

probability adjustments based upon failure types (e.g., independent versus dependent) and failure modes (e.g., failure …

Risk is the product of the probability and consequences of an event. Both of these must be based upon sound science … integrated risk assessment. In this framework the underlying scientific understanding of processes that affect probability and … greatest level of uncertainty at the decision level. We review two examples of the determination of volcanic event probability …

probability of exhibiting strong interpersonal skill. Some of this perceived character is innate . . . but more is driven by the …

reformulated with respect to statistical properties of these objectives functions (e.g. probability of exceeding certain thresholds …

construction times. The outputs of the model are cumulative probability distributions of financial measures such as capital cost … the powerful feature that conditional probability distribution can be used to account for correlations among any of the …

resorting to large sample sizes. A promising altemative to these methods is the fast probability integration (FPI) methods … driving the top event frequency response in extreme probability regions. In this paper, FPI methods are adapted a) to …