Wildfires, suspended soil and other particulates, and industrial emissions combine to raise the urgency of air quality as a planetary threat. This paper introduces Prometheus, a proactive decision-making framework for managing environmental and health risks associated with air pollution and...

We present a theory of excess stock market volatility, in which market movements are due to trades by very large institutional investors in relatively illiquid markets. Such trades generate significant spikes in returns and volume, even in the absence of important news about fundamentals. We...

The relationship between the size and the variance of firm growth rates is known to follow an approximate power-law behavior σ(S) similar to S^-β(S) where S is the firm size and β(S) almost equal to 0.2 is an exponent weakly dependent on S. Here we show how a model of proportional growth...

Firms having similar business activities are correlated. We analyze two different cross-correlation matrices C constructed from (i) 30-min price fluctuations of 1000 US stocks for the 2-year period 1994-95 and (ii) 1-day price fluctuations of 422 US stocks for the 35-year period 1962-96. We find...

We compare our results on empirical analysis of financial data with simulations of two stochastic models of the dynamics of stock market prices. The two models are (i) the truncated L\'evy flight recently introduced by us and (ii) the ARCH(1) and GARCH(1,1) processes. We find that the TLF well...

We use methods of random matrix theory to analyze the cross-correlation matrix C of price changes of the largest 1000 US stocks for the 2-year period 1994-95. We find that the statistics of most of the eigenvalues in the spectrum of C agree with the predictions of random matrix theory, but there...

We quantitatively investigate the ideas behind the often-expressed adage `it takes volume to move stock prices', and study the statistical properties of the number of shares traded $Q_{\Delta t}$ for a given stock in a fixed time interval $\Delta t$. We analyze transaction data for the largest...

Price fluctuations of commodities like cotton and wheat are thought to display probability distributions of returns that follow a L\'evy stable distribution. Recent analysis of stocks and foreign exchange markets show that the probability distributions are not L\'evy stable, a plausible result...

We investigated the network structures of the Japanese stock market through the minimum spanning tree. We defined grouping coefficient to test the validity of conventional grouping by industrial categories, and found a decreasing in trend for the coefficient. This phenomenon supports the...