Showing 21 - 28 of 28
We study the price dynamics of 65 stocks from the Dow Jones Composite Average from 1973 until 2014. We show that it is possible to define a Daily Market Volatility $\sigma(t)$ which is directly observable from data. This quantity is usually indirectly defined by $r(t)=\sigma(t) \omega(t)$ where...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011212890
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001422779
The definition of time is still an open question when one deals with high frequency time series. If time is simply the calendar time, prices can be modeled as continuous random processes and values resulting from transactions or fixings are discrete samples of this underlying dynamics. On the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012739584
We discuss price variations distributions in foreign exchange markets, characterizing them both in calendar and business time frameworks. The price dynamics is found to be the result of two distinct processes, a multi-variance diffusion and an error process. The presence of the latter, which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012743805
The dynamics of prices in financial markets has been studied intensively both experimentally (data analysis) and theoretically (models). Nevertheless, a complete stochastic characterization of volatility is still lacking. What it is well known is that absolute returns have memory on a long time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012743865
A quantitative check of weak efficiency in US dollar/German mark exchange rates is developed using high frequency data. We show the existence of long term return anomalies. We introduce a technique to measure the available information and show it can be profitable following a particular trading rule
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012743982
We employ the Levy sections theorem in the analysis of selected dollar exchange rate time series. The theorem is an extension of the classical central limit theorem and offers an alternative to the most usual analysis of the sum variable. We find that the presence of fat tails can be related to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015231498
We introduce a criterion how to price derivatives in incomplete markets, which is based on the theory of optimal strategies in repeated multiplicative games. Arguments are presented why such growth-optimal strategies should be relevant to the problem of pricing derivatives. Under the assumptions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012744214