Neoclassical economic theory views current account imbalances as the result of (individual) decisions to save more than to invest domestically, in line with the loan-able funds doctrine. Monetary analysis in the Keynesian tradition rejects such approaches and emphasizes that a country's net...

This paper offers a new class of models for the term structure of forward interest rates. We allow each instantaneous forward rate to be driven by a different stochastic shock, but constrain the shocks so that the forward rate curve is kept continuous. We term the shocks to the forward curve...

This paper offers a new class of models for the term structure of forward interest rates. We allow each instantaneous forward rate to be driven by a different stochastic shock, but constrain the shocks so that the forward rate curve is kept continuous. We term the shocks to the forward curve...

Continuous Gibrat#x2019;s Law and Gabaix#x2019;s Derivation of Zipf#x2019;s Law -- Flow of Firm Creation -- Useful Properties of Realizations of the Geometric Brownian Motion -- Exit or #x201C;Death#x201D; of Firms -- Deviations from Gibrat#x2019;s Law and Implications for Generalized Zipf#x2019;s Laws -- Firm#x2019;s Sudden...

We give a mathematical definition for the notion of inconclusive quantum measurements. In physics, such measurements occur at intermediate stages of a complex measurement procedure, with the final measurement result being operationally testable. Since the mathematical structure of Quantum...

We demonstrate that behavioral probabilities of human decision makers share many common features with quantum probabilities. This does not imply that humans are some quantum objects, but just shows that the mathematics of quantum theory is applicable to the description of human decision making....

We consider the psychological effect of preference reversal and show that it finds a natural explanation in the frame of quantum decision theory. When people choose between lotteries with non-negative payoffs, they prefer a more certain lottery because of uncertainty aversion. But when people...

The problem of defining quantum probabilities of composite events for quantum decision theory and theory of quantum measurements is considered. These theories not merely are closely related with each other, but decision theory, actually, can be treated as a part of measurement theory. We show...

In this paper we present an analysis of a major scientific project in the making with the goal of testing our ‘social bubbles' hypothesis. This framework claims that strong social interactions between enthusiastic supporters of a project weave a network based on positive feedback, leading to...

We propose a new set of stylized facts quantifying the structure of financial markets. The key idea is to study the combined structure of both investment strategies and prices in order to open a qualitatively new level of understanding of financial and economic markets. We study the detailed...