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extransition economies. In the first phase of the empirical part of the research, the authors tested the stationarity of the real …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014520660
This article is our personal perspective on the IPS test and the subsequent developments of unit root and cointegration tests in dynamic panels with and without cross-section dependence. In this note, we discuss the main idea behind the test and the publication process that led to Im, Pesaran...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014290138
Plans are far advanced to form a second monetary union, the West African Monetary Zone (WAMZ), in Africa. While much attention is being placed on convergence criteria and preparedness of the five aspiring member states, less attention is being placed on how the dynamics of inflation in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009465860
Starting from an information process governed by a geometric Brownian motion we show that asset returns are predictable if the elasticity of the pricing kernel is not constant. Declining [Increasing] elasticity of the pricing kernel leads to mean reversion and negatively autocorrelated asset...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010297953
For a time-continuous discrete-state Markov process as model for rating transitions, we study the time-stationarity by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010300658
This paper shows that the evolution of the level of Mexico real and real per capita output between 1895 and 2008 can be adequately described through a trendstationary model, affected by 4 structural breaks, which occurred at dates that seem to coincide with domestic institutional arrangements,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322550
In this paper we introduce two general non-parametric first-order stationary time-series models for which marginal (invariant) and transition distributions are expressed as infinite-dimensional mixtures. That feature makes them the first Bayesian stationary fully non-parametric models developed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322563
We study the dynamics of inflation persistence in 45 countries for the period 1960-2008. We use a nonparametric unit root test robust to nonlinearities, error distributions, structural breaks and outliers, many of them typical features of inflation data, and a test for multiple changes in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322567
Empirical research on the degree and stability of inflation persistence in the US has produced mixed results: some suggest high and unchanged persistence during the last few decades, while others argue in favor of a decline in persistence since the early 1980s. We contribute to this debate by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322575
When indexation is endogenous price level targeting slightly adds to economic stability, contrary to widespread fears to the contrary. The aggregate supply curve flattens and the aggregate demand curve steepens, increasing stability in the face of supply shocks.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322829