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consequent forecasting of a component to deal with trends and seasonality in the data. While the short-term seasonal components … electricity spot price modeling the importance of the seasonal decomposition is neglected and the problem of forecasting it is not … considered. With this paper we want to fill the gap and present a thorough study on estimation and forecasting of the LTSC of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011112241
We present the results of an extensive study on estimation and forecasting of the long-term seasonal component (LTSC … are significantly better in terms of forecasting spot prices up to a year ahead than the commonly used monthly dummies and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011039659
We present the results of an extensive study on modeling and forecasting of the long-term seasonal component (LTSC) of … decompositions and wavelet smoothers. We find that in terms of forecasting EEX and Nord Pool spot prices up to a year ahead, wavelet …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010659621
terms of forecasting these prices up to a year ahead than the commonly used monthly dummies and sine-based models. However …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010752758
terms of forecasting these prices up to a year ahead than the commonly used monthly dummies and sine-based models. However …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011208281
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010235039
An important issue in fitting stochastic models to electricity spot prices is the estimation of a component to deal with trends and seasonality in the data. Unfortunately, estimation routines for the long-term and short-term seasonal pattern are usually quite sensitive to extreme observations,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011110715
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011533689
An important issue in fitting stochastic models to electricity spot prices is the estimation of a component to deal with trends and seasonality in the data. Unfortunately, estimation routines for the long-term and short-term seasonal pattern are usually quite sensitive to extreme observations,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011039527
and Vector ARX models) and indirectly (via factor models). The forecasting performance of five econometric models is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010775410