This paper examines how the size of the rolling window, and the frequency used in moving average (MA) trading strategies, affects financial performance when risk is measured. We use the MA rule for market timing, that is, for when to buy stocks and when to shift to the risk-free rate. The...

This paper focuses on the estimation and predictive performance of several estimators for the time-space dynamic panel data model with Spatial Moving Average Random Effects (SMA-RE) structure of the disturbances. A dynamic spatial Generalized Moments (GM) estimator is proposed which combines the...

Summary Despite the fact that many aggregates are nonlinear functions and the aggregation weights of many macroeconomic aggregates are time-varying, much of the literature on forecasting aggregates considers the case of linear aggregates with fixed, time-invariant aggregation weights. In this...

This paper studies the profitability of applying technical analysis that signals the entry and exit from the stock market in three Chinese stock markets - the Shanghai, Hong Kong and Taiwan Stock Exchanges. The Simple Moving Average (MA) and its extensions, Exponential MA, Dual MA, Triple MA,...

This study highlights some problems with using the Johansen cointegration statistics on data containing a negative moving average (NMA) in the error term of the data generating process. We use a Monte Carlo experiment to demonstrate that the asymptotic distribution of the Johansen cointegration...

Despite the fact that many aggregates are nonlinear functions and the aggregation weights of many macroeconomic aggregates are time-varying, much of the literature on forecasting aggregates considers the case of linear aggregates with fixed, time-invariant aggregation weights. In this study a...

Technical analysis is a category of securities trading that utilizes mathematical formulas in order to signal buying and selling points. This paper will evaluate the profitability of various technical methods over a five-year period starting January 1, 2003, with securities in the Dow Jones...

This study examines spot and forward exchange rates at a weekly level for four different currencies. It is shown that the vector of forward market forecast errors can be parameterized as a vector moving average (MA) process where the MAcoefficients can be theoretically determined from knowledge...

Nagrinėjama vertybinių popierių rinkos būklės kitimo, pasireiškus finansų krizei, problema. Atskleidžiama finansų krizės esmė, tipai, nustatomos finansų krizės susidarymo priežastys ir pasekmės. Analizuojama Lietuvos vertybinių popierių rinka ir nustatomi veiksniai, kurie daro...

Darbe „Akcijų kainų kintamumo analizė“ nagrinėjami ir lyginami Baltijos (Lietuvos, Latvijos, Estijos) bei Lotynų Amerikos (Meksikos, Venesuelos) šalių duomenys. Atliekama pasirinktų akcijų kainų grąžų analizė. Jai naudojami trijų metų kiekvienos dienos duomenys (akcijų...