The paper discusses the pricing of derivatives using a stochastic discount factor modeled as a regime switching geometric Brownian motion. The regime switching is driven by a continuous time hidden Markov chain representing changes in the economy. The stochastic discount factor enables to define...

Time series of financial asset values exhibit well-known statistical features such as heavy tails and volatility clustering. We propose a nonparametric extension of the classical Peaks-Over-Threshold method from extreme value theory to fit the time varying volatility in situations where the...

In this paper we construct the minimal entropy martingale for semi-Markov regime switching interest rate models using some general entropy measures. We prove that, for the one-period model, the minimal entropy martingale for semi-Markov processes in the case of the Tsallis and Kaniadakis...

We propose a novel generalized recursive smooth ambiguity model which permits a three-way separation among risk aversion, ambiguity aversion, and intertemporal substitution. We apply this utility model to a consumption-based asset-pricing model in which consumption and dividends follow hidden...

This article investigates the effect of tax reform from the viewpoint of regime switching and finds that, following a tax-reform announcement with constant government spending, the key factor determining the adjustment patterns of consumption and capital is the relative extent of the...

This paper examines the extent to which the Indonesia's currency crisis can be accounted for by macro and micro economic fundamentals by employing Markov-switching approach under cross-generation crisis models. In order to represent the speculative attack in the economy, the study utilized one...

This study employs panel smooth transition regression (PSTR) models with different lagged variables of earnings components as regressor to evaluate earnings persistence effects. The models can resolve collinearity problems between predictors, reflect firms' volatile or irregular earnings streams...

The class of reduced form models is a very important class of credit risk models, and the modeling of the default dependence structure is essential in the reduced form models. This paper proposes a thinning-dependent structure model in the reduced form framework. The intensity process is the...

We use a threshold vector autoregression to study the effects of monetary policy shocks on the US. Depending on the level of inflation we note important regime dependence in the inflation response to monetary policy shocks.

Performance indices for illiquid investments are known to suffer from returns smoothing, and the purpose of this paper is to investigate the presence and nature of such smoothing in the context of venture capital. We find that while the standard techniques may or may not indicate the presence of...