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The paper concerns an issue of existence of a risk premium in equity and index futures markets. The paper consists of four parts. The first part describes the basic hypotheses of forward curves in the futures market. In the second section, I formulate 5 hypotheses concerning a risk premium in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013098970
Equity index implied volatility functions are known to be excessively skewed in comparison with implied volatility at the single stock level. We study this stylized fact for the case of a major German stock index, the DAX, by recovering index implied volatility from simulating the 30 dimensional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092464
There has been very limited evidence about the impact of index derivatives on the informativeness of the underlying stocks' prices, despite its empirical nature. We explore this issue in this study, employing the introduction of the S&P 100 options. We find that, net of the market, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013076138
This research aims to revisit the price discovery relationship between spot and futures prices of Indian equity index S&P CNX Nifty, using neural network approach. This study uses minute-by-minute prices of 167 trading days ranging from January, 2015 to August, 2015 to gain fresh insights on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013001717
Previous studies on the efficiency of oiI and gas markets have used monthly, weekly, or daily data. With the fast evolving, high-speed transaction globalized financial markets; efficiency of markets is better-explored using intraday day. In this paper, data sampled at 30-minute intervals...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012844437
Equity options are not only an attractive trading vehicle due to the high leverage they offer, they also enable investors to trade their volatility expectations. With high-resolution option data, we analyze the volatility information embedded in index options with different moneyness and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012902914
This paper reconsiders the process of price discovery in spot and futures markets. In our study, we examine the contribution of two derivative products of the German blue chip index DAX: Exchange traded funds and index futures. In order to eliminate noise caused by differences in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012906184
Little is known about the economic sources that may generate the abnormal returns observed in put index options. We show that the learning process followed by investors may be one such source. We develop an equilibrium model under partial information in which a rational Bayesian learner prices...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012909174
We develop a general model to price VIX futures contracts. The model is adapted to test both the constant elasticity of variance (CEV) and the Cox–Ingersoll–Ross formulations, with and without jumps. Empirical tests on VIX futures prices provide out-of-sample estimates within 2% of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012889835
This paper investigates the impact of tightened trading rules on the market efficiency and the price discovery function of Chinese stock index futures in 2015. In contrast with severe criticism of these changes, we do not find empirical evidence that market efficiency and price discovery...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012935745