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domestic supply of three agricultural commodities in Argentina between 1994 and 2008, which observe the patterns of seasonality …Monthly time-series data based on agricultural commodities tend to present strong and particular patterns of … seasonality. The presence of zero values in some of the seasons is not explained by the absence of reporting but is the result of …
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instruments or larger investments in these markets. The first chapter of this thesis are studying the impact on commodities of … Exchange-Traded Products (ETPs) whose purpose is to provide investors a passive exposure to commodities. During this study, it … traditionally this function was performed by the futures market. The final chapter of this PhD thesis is studying seasonality in …
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The 1987 stock market crash occurred with minimal impact on observable economic variables (e.g., consumption), yet dramatically and permanently changed the shape of the implied volatility curve for equity index options. Here, we propose a general equilibrium model that captures many salient...
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The 1987 market crash was associated with a dramatic and permanent steepening of the implied volatility curve for equity index options, despite minimal changes in aggregate consumption. We explain these events within a general equilibrium framework in which expected endowment growth and economic...
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Over-allotment arrangements are nowadays part of almost any initial public offering. The underwriting banks borrow stocks from the previous shareholders to issue more than the initially announced number of shares. This is combined with the option to cover this short position at the issue price....
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This paper introduces a new technique to infer the risk-neutral probability distribution of an asset from the prices of options on this asset. The technique is based on using the trading volume of each option as a proxy of the informativeness of the option. Not requiring the implied probability...
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