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In this paper, calendar seasonality patterns are examined from day-of-the-week effect across weekly patterns, monthly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011592704
, characterized either by seasonality in the delivery period or by a term-structure effect, and identify the resulting MPDP in both …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014277000
approach. Our modeling acknowledges that commodities exhibit seasonality <p> patterns in both spot price level and volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005644721
trigonometric specification. First, we show that, given the isomorphism between the trigonometrical and alternative seasonality …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010679160
This work discusses potential pitfalls of applying linear regression models to explaining the relationship between spot and futures prices in electricity markets. We briefly introduce the theory for the analysis of the spot-futures price relationship and highlight selected issues of multiple...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010686015
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009024421
from the Nasdaq OMX Commodities exchange. We calibrate the shaping model to prevailing electricity forward prices and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011132254
seasonality. Based on this evidence, a theoretical model is presented and estimated to characterize the commodity convenience … yield dynamics that are consistent with previous findings. We also show that commodity price seasonality is better estimated …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011039614
In electricity markets, futures contracts typically function as a swap since they deliver the underlying over a period of time. In this paper, we introduce a market price for the delivery periods of electricity swaps, thereby opening an arbitrage-free pricing framework for derivatives based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012216375
This paper analyses futures prices for four energy commodities (light sweet crude oil, heating oil, gasoline and … natural gas) and five agricultural commodities (corn, oats, soybean oil, soybeans and wheat), over the period 1986-2010. Using … commodities futures while macroeconomic factors help explaining returns in commodities futures. Moreover, spillovers between …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010335316