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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009705629
Regime-switching models can match the tendency of financial markets to often change their behavior abruptly and the phenomenon that the new behavior of financial variables often persists for several periods after such a change. Although the regimes captured by regime-switching models are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010603962
Regime switching models can match the tendency of financial markets to often change their behavior abruptly and the phenomenon that the new behavior of financial variables often persists for several periods after such a change. While the regimes captured by regime switching models are identified...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009205067
This paper studies whether the Rietz–Barro “disaster” model, extended for a time-varying probability of disaster, can match the empirical evidence on predictability of stock returns. It is shown that when utility is CRRA, the model cannot replicate this evidence, regardless of parameter...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004991575
loss aversion. The problem is solved in closed form when the stock market exhibits stochastic volatility and jumps. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005162943
This paper investigates whether risks associated with time-varying arrival of jumps and their effect on the dynamics of … higher moments of returns are priced in the conditional mean of daily market excess returns. We find that jumps and jump …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010702374
growing importance of emerging markets, the literature on the nature of volatility in global markets is typified by … volatility in developed G7 and emerging BRICS markets. Broad market index data and GARCH models over the period 2003 …:01–2020:08 were employed. The study found evidence of volatility persistence, asymmetry, mean reversion and weak evidence of a risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012872753
predictive variance. We show theoretically how this adjustment factor affects both average and volatility of excess returns. We … related to excess volatility as predicted by the model. Further confirming the model's implications, we also show how stock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012487731
We studied (i) the volatility feedback effect, defined as the relationship between contemporaneous returns and the … market-based volatility, and (ii) the leverage effect, defined as the relationship between lagged returns and the current … market-based volatility. For our analysis, we used daily measures of volatility estimated from high frequency data to explain …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012309061
following the auctions. This effect is stronger when market volatility is higher. We rationalize both findings using a simple …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011647972