Russian Abstract: В данном исследовании проводится анализ предсказательной способности такого типа интернет данных, как интенсивность поисковых запросов, для...

A surge in COVID-19 incidence in early April has shown that the world pandemic has not yet passed its peak. Morningstar and Fitch rating agencies forecast a reduction in global GDP in 2020 by 1.4% and 1.9%, respectively, while the Chinese economy will be the one to be hardest hit by the...

Russian Abstract: Рост заболеваемости COVID-19 в начале апреля показывает, что пик пандемии в мире еще не пройден. Рейтинговые агентства Morningstar и Fitch прогнозируют сокращение...

In 2019, the significant inflation slowdown translated into a notable monetary policy easing. Over the course of the year, the Bank of Russia reduced its key rate 5 times (from 7.75 to 6.25% per annum), as a result of which, according to the Bank of Russia, it now stands near neutral level. Our...

In 2019, Russia's trade surplus shrank significantly as result of a declining value volume of exports which, in its turn, was pushed down by sliding prices of oil and increasing imports. Meanwhile, net capital outflow that had been observed in 2018 gave way to net capital inflow, to the value of...

In 2016, the Bank of Russia implemented a conservative monetary policy aimed at mitigating inflation. Commercial banks decreased their demand for central bank refinancing as the Reserve Fund was spent, in which case the central bank had to employ a set of instruments to prevent an increase in...

Global financial markets are being dominated by upbeat sentiments in the face of official statistics that show major economies are slowing. Market volatility in developed countries is on the slide as the attractiveness of developing countries' assets is on the rise. However, economic agents'...

In Q1 2017, the current account surplus increased significantly due to rising exports alongside a slower growth in imports. Growth of the positive current account balance was the main factor behind the ruble's strengthening. At the same time, net capital outflow from the private sector also...

On March 24, the Bank of Russia decided to reduce its key rate by 0.25 percentage point to 9.75%. The Bank of Russia's intention to continue its moderately rigid monetary policy, in spite of the significant slowdown in real inflation, can be explained by the inertia of inflation expectations, as...

It was during his election campaign that US President Donald Trump put forth a number of domestic economic policy proposals, which, once implemented, may not only alter the rules of game in the US economy, but also significantly influence the entire global economy