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The present research shows the application of the generalized autoregresive conditional heteroskedasticity models (GARCH) in order to forecast the variance and return of the IPC, the EMBI, the weighted-average government funding rate, the fix exchange rate and the Mexican oil reference, as...
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on investment is ambiguous and could be found only by empirical analysis. In this study the volatility of prices and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010817065
common belief, the auction prices for gas storage are mostly affected by the volatility of current market prices rather than … with the volatility of the spot market. This is an intuitive result because storage capacity can serve as an effective …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011333083
This paper deals with three aspects of spectacular oil price episodes such as the one witnessed in 2008. First, the concept of temporary explosiveness is proposed as an empirical method for capturing this type of behavior. The application of a recently proposed recursive unit root test shows...
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. First, empirical data are often characterized by time-varying volatility and fat tails; therefore we use Gaussian GAS …
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