What is Econometrics? -- A Review of Some Basic Statistical Concepts -- Simple Linear Regression -- Multiple Regression Analysis -- Violations of the Classical Assumptions -- Distributed Lags and Dynamic Models -- The General Linear Model: The Basics -- Regression Diagnostics and Specification...

We quantify the sovereign-bank doom loop by using the 1999 Marmara earthquake as an exogenous shock leading to an increase in Turkey’s default risk. Our theoretical model illustrates that for banks with higher exposure to government securities, a higher sovereign default risk implies lower net...