We develop the stochastic Perron's method (see e.g. arXiv: 1212.2170) in the framework of stochastic target games (arXiv: 1307.5606), in which one player tries to find a strategy such that the state process almost-surely reaches a given target no matter which action is chosen by the other...

A statistical analysis of financial, economic, and demographic indicators performed by the authors demonstrates (1) that the main countries of East Africa (Uganda, Kenya, and Tanzania) have not escaped the Malthusian Trap yet; (2) that this countries are not likely to follow the "North African...

The energy and material processing industries are traditionally characterized by very large-scale physical capital that is custom-built with long lead times and long lifetimes. However, recent technological advancement in low-cost automation has made possible the parallel operation of large...

The risk premium is one of main concepts in mathematical finance. It is a measure of the trade-offs investors make between return and risk and is defined by the excess return relative to the risk-free interest rate that is earned from an asset per one unit of risk. The purpose of this article is...

This paper analyzes the problem of starting and stopping a Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR) process with fixed costs. In addition, we also study a related optimal switching problem that involves an infinite sequence of starts and stops. We establish the conditions under which the starting-stopping and...

This paper studies the risk-adjusted optimal timing to liquidate an option at the prevailing market price. In addition to maximizing the expected discounted return from option sale, we incorporate a path-dependent risk penalty based on shortfall or quadratic variation of the option price up to...

We test predictability on asset price using stock selection rules based on maximum drawdown and consecutive recovery. Monthly momentum- and weekly contrarian-style portfolios ranked by the alternative selection criteria are implemented in various asset classes. Regardless of market, the...

This paper studies the valuation and optimal strategy of convertible bonds as a Dynkin game by using the reflected backward stochastic differential equation method and the variational inequality method. We first reduce such a Dynkin game to an optimal stopping time problem with state constraint,...

The coupled system, where one is a degenerate parabolic equation and the other has not a diffusion term arises in the modeling of European options with liquidity shocks. Two implicit-explicit (IMEX) schemes that preserve the positivity of the differential problem solution are constructed and...

We study the dependence structure of market states by calculating empirical pairwise copulas of daily stock returns. We consider both original returns, which exhibit time-varying trends and volatilities, as well as locally normalized ones, where the non-stationarity has been removed. The...