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Since the 2008 global food crisis, and with the new price surge in 2010-2011, agricultural commodity markets have been at the heart of the world economic concerns. It is likely that several fundamental factors (crop failures, extreme weather events, biofuel development, emerging economies...
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This paper investigates the causality between prices and index-based trading activity for twelve grain, livestock, and other soft commodity futures markets. We use panel Granger causality estimations based on SUR systems and Wald tests with market-specific bootstrap critical values. This...
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