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We investigate the price spread between gold and silver trading as a futures contract on COMEX. Although the correlation between gold and silver returns during this period was high we find evidence of time varying long term dependence in the spread, with the positive dependent relationship...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012721197
This paper uses fractional integration methods to assess the impact of US policy responses (containment and health measures, income support policy, debt-relief policy, changes in the Effective Federal Funds Rate, monetary and fiscal announcements) to the COVID-19 pandemic on US sectoral stock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013322776
This paper applies recently developed procedures to monitor and date so-called "financial market dislocations", defined as periods in which substantial deviations from arbitrage parities take place. In particular, we focus on deviations from the triangular arbitrage parity for exchange rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012251074
This paper examines stock market integration between the ASEAN five and the US and China, respectively, over the period from November 2002 to March 2018. The linkages between both aggregate and financial sector stock indices (both weekly and monthly) are analysed using fractional integration and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011982404
The exchange markets and the exchange rates of Asia and Latin America are studied econometrically. Endogenous structural change and cointegration analyzes and impulse-response functions are used. The findings indicate that: 1) the long-term timing of the exchange markets is low; 2) there is no...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011870778
In this paper we analyze the link between stock market performance and macroe conomic performance for a large number of countries. We study the short-run and long-run relationships and find that stock market returns do not coherently predict future macroeconomic changes for the majority of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010883508
This paper analyzes market index returns in the Tehran stock exchange (TSE) within the context of three variants of the Capital Asset Pricing Model: the static international; the constant-parameter intertemporal; and a Markov-switching intertemporal CAPM, which allows for time-varying degree of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010933276
It is well known that high-frequency asset returns are fat-tailed relative to the Gaussian distribution, and that the fat tails are typically reduced but not eliminated when returns are standardized by volatilities estimated from popular ARCH and stochastic volatility models. We consider two...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010937107
We examine the international stock market comovements between Western Europe vis-à-vis Central (the Czech Republic, Hungary and Poland) and South Eastern Europe (Croatia, Macedonia and Serbia) using multivariate GARCH models in 2006–2011. Comparing these two groups, we find that the degree of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011274516
This paper features an analysis of volatility spillover effects from the US market, represented by the S&P500 index to the Australian capital market as represented by the Australian S&P200 for a period running from 12th September 2002 to 9th September 2012. This captures the impact of the Global...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255545