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Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to give a review of the standard approaches to extreme value theory. Special focus on the tail of the distribution is underlined, in particular concerning the fat‐tails phenomenon typical of financial returns. The core of the work is then represented by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014901622
data analysis. While the authors utilize the peaks-over-threshold approach for generalized Pareto distribution, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014901897
In the common nonparametric regression model the problem of testing for a specific parametric form of the variance function is considered. Recently Dette and Hetzler (2008) proposed a test statistic, which is based on an empirical process of pseudo residuals. The process converges weakly to a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010300657
O presente trabalho avaliou as características das séries de retornos, normalmenteencontradas em séries financeiras, para dados do mercado de arroz em casca ao produtordo Rio Grande do Sul. Um modelo da classe GARCH (1,1) tipo VaR foi utilizado paraobter previsões da variância condicional e...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009444567
Cattle feeding enterprises operate amid variability originating in prices and production. Thisresearch explicitly models yield risks related to cattle feeding by relating the mean and varianceof yield performance factors to observable conditioning variables. The results demonstratethat pen...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009444653
Extreme value theory for a class of EGARCH processes is developed. It is shown that the EGARCH process as well as the logarithm of its conditional variance lie in the domain of attraction of the Gumbel distribution. Norming constants are obtained and it is shown that the considered processes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010266138
This paper investigates conditional variance patterns in daily return series of stock market indices in the G-7 and 6 selected economies of Central and Eastern Europe. For this purpose, various linear and asymmetric GARCH models are employed. The analysis is conducted for Canada, France,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009476868
The article seeks to investigate the issue of interdependence that during crisis periods in the capital markets is of particular importance due to the likelihood of causing a crisis in the real economy. The research objective of the article is to identify this interdependence in volatility....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012232446
Identification of linkages among capital markets is crucial for forming policies that take into account risk associated with international financial markets in-terdependencies. Thus, the aim of the article is to analyse interdependencies among capital markets of Germany, Poland, Czech Republic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012232471
The article concentrates on modelling of volatility of capital markets and estimation of Value-at-Risk. The aim of the article is the description of volatility and interdependencies among three indices: WIG (Poland), DAX (Germany) and DJIA (United States). In order to measure the volatility and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012232485