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The Basel III framework advises considering a reference indicator at the country level to guide the setting of the countercyclical capital buffer: the credit-to-GDP gap. In this paper, I provide empirical evidence suggesting that the credit-to-GDP gap is subject to spurious medium-term cycles,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012216484
Hamilton (2017) criticises the Hodrick and Prescott (1981, 1997) filter (HP filter) because of three drawbacks (i. spurious cycles, ii. end-of-sample bias, iii. ad hoc assumptions regarding the smoothing parameter) and proposes a regression filter as an alternative. I demonstrate that Hamilton's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011792295
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We discuss martingales, detrending data, and the efficient market hypothesis (EMH) for stochastic processes x(t) with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010874048
We highlight how detrending within Structural Vector Autoregressions (SVAR) is directly linked to the shock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010904257
This paper provides a methodology for measuring stock market performance based on the restrictions provided by absence of arbitrage in security prices. Under the null hypothesis that the aggregate cumulative dividend-price process follows a geometric Brownian motion, a closed form related to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010936588
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, we have also used some kind of detrending methods to adjust for the shifts in the turnover series. We have used six … different kind of detrending methods like linear, logarithmic, first differencing, moving average, seasonal deseasonalization … detrending them by each of the above stated procedures. Linear, log-linear, GRT detrending and kernel regression seem to do …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005342341
deficiencies, however, univariate detrending methods are frequently adopted for both policy oriented and academic research. This … paper proposes a new procedure for combining univariate detrending techniques which is based on revisions of the estimated …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005357952
deficiencies, however, univariate detrending methods are frequently adopted for both policy oriented and academic research. This … paper proposes a new procedure for combining univariate detrending techniques which is based on revisions of the estimated …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005157602