Jansen, Dennis W.; Li, Qi; Wang, Zijun; Yang, Jian - In: Journal of Econometrics 147 (2008) 1, pp. 141-150
Using a flexible semiparametric varying coefficient model specification, this paper examines the role of fiscal policy on the US asset markets (stocks, corporate and treasury bonds). We consider two possible roles of fiscal deficits (or surpluses): as a separate direct information variable and...